SimpleFunctions
PolymarketOct 31, 2026175 days left

Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?

This contract is priced at 77¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 58¢ bid, 93¢ ask, 35¢ spread.

Implied probability

77¢
$12K volume
$472 liquidity
65% of event volume

Event outcomes

4

Family volume

$19K

Best sibling

<2 Years 25¢

Ticker

0xf06de23a…e010

Market snapshot

No Prison Time in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?. The displayed quote is 77¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $12K. In the Jack Doherty Prison Time? family, this outcome ranks #1 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

No Prison Time

Family rank

#1 of 4

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

77¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Oct 31, 2026

Reported volume

$12K

Family context

4 outcomes · Jack Doherty Prison Time?

Quote range

10¢-76¢

Family leader

No Prison Time 76¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 5m ago

Venue identifier: 0xf06de23a5467a2e5d82b40c1d9d63c361612861cf74148071083f28d0372e010. Family volume: $19K.

Price history

77¢ current

17¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

58 / 93¢

Polymarket
35¢ spread
BidSize
58¢50
21¢200
21¢38
21¢10
16¢600
11¢500
9¢17
6¢400
AskSize
93¢37
93¢55
95¢519
95¢165
95¢10
98¢75
98¢50
99¢155

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence. This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point. If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Oct 31, 2026

Identifier

0xf06de23a…e010

Event family

Jack Doherty Prison Time.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$19K

Outcomes

4

Highest price

No Prison Time 76¢

Current share

65%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

66.0%

IY (No)

661.5%

Adj IY

357%

CRI

3

RV

267%

VR

3.33

Regime

neutral

Score

0.432

Observability

medium

Event type

unknown

Full indicator table

66.0%
661.5%
Adj IY
357%
3
RV
267%
VR
3.33
IAR
1.2/h
Overround
0.3%
LAS
0.46

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