Kash Patel out by December 31?
This contract is priced at 65¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 64¢ bid, 65¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
3
Family volume
$498K
Best sibling
June 30 32¢
Ticker
0x4dc5c13e…7d0d
Price history
65¢ current
−4¢Orderbook snapshot
64 / 65¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x4dc5c13e…7d0d
Event family
Kash Patel out by.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$498K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
December 31 65¢
Current share
30%
December 31
polymarket · 0x4dc5c13eb9646b10da7d5f079f77ef2480ec5466861ce1cfbc910fabed3d7d0d
June 30
polymarket · 0x79859c9e6645873e1568344b0b8ee54cc9eb02b90701cc5ba19c9a547ff313ce
May 31
polymarket · 0xaf89088494ed29e5694bdf8cb6d945340234729e1e4aba3ffba6fd1df4097d50
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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