Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
This contract is priced at 3¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 3¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 0¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
8
Family volume
$2.5M
Best sibling
NVIDIA 52¢
Ticker
0xa226daf1…3574
Price history
3¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 3¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0xa226daf1…3574
Event family
Largest Company end of December 2026.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$2.5M
Outcomes
8
Highest price
NVIDIA 52¢
Current share
5%
SpaceX
polymarket · 0xa226daf1b12a3c4f7ff6c71c4cf6cd1e51d31833ff49a67210ed81db5a813574
NVIDIA
polymarket · 0x684e5b72d4e407695397a79ed75ef37273c2655ca2548791a4153233d3744696
Saudi Aramco
polymarket · 0x899f8c70dae5b6d09a19ebe324e248ce8bf48002f06216fa7d937b935f4c1734
Microsoft
polymarket · 0x6b978bfe3f8b58edd400556fa8d1f582d4b4f60d12286245af249fa8a6446bca
Amazon
polymarket · 0xa0bc0c7db051defd2425c4d79fbfa1a0252cec4a987572562038a090922d412e
Tesla
polymarket · 0x1f403ffb53e114cbc81c5f07a0f3971886c67b67af7c260f0117d3f63ba54af4
Apple
polymarket · 0x55a5a4b50b7947482e95af8f638fa0b8d9a46740c5cd04c6799443e83565176a
Alphabet
polymarket · 0x39676b9161ea372b38115423a5de8f700f1888c35dd0fb2be07d96510ec28f7c
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 3% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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