SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 30, 2026

Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?

This contract is priced at 2¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

2¢
$21K volume
$4K liquidity
74% of event volume

Event outcomes

2

Family volume

$28K

Best sibling

December 31, 2026 28¢

Ticker

0x3f392bef…279b

Market snapshot

June 30, 2026 in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?. The displayed quote is 2¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $21K. In the Lecornu out as French PM by...? family, this outcome ranks #2 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 9:57 AM UTC.

Outcome

June 30, 2026

Family rank

#2 of 2

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 30, 2026

Reported volume

$21K

Family context

2 outcomes · Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Quote range

2¢-28¢

Family leader

December 31, 2026 28¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 9:57 AM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: 0x3f392befb90448d60e3dff240fa2baca5b9c902aab3d3f1896166388c975279b. Family volume: $28K.

Price history

2¢ current

7¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 13, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 3¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
100¢100
100¢8
0¢79K
0¢1.7K
0¢319
0¢41
AskSize
3¢61
5¢50
10¢57
10¢15
12¢150
43¢255
45¢200
45¢60

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Identifier

0x3f392bef…279b

Event family

Lecornu out as French PM by.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$28K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

December 31, 2026 28¢

Current share

74%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

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