Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?
This contract is priced at 28¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 26¢ bid, 30¢ ask, 4¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$28K
Best sibling
June 30, 2026 2¢
Ticker
0x50084866…5cc8
Market snapshot
December 31, 2026 in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?. The displayed quote is 28¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $30. In the Lecornu out as French PM by...? family, this outcome ranks #1 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
December 31, 2026
Family rank
#1 of 2
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
28¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
24h volume
$30
Family context
2 outcomes · Lecornu out as French PM by...?
Quote range
2¢-28¢
Family leader
December 31, 2026 28¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 5m ago
Venue identifier: 0x5008486648e1504fc35d468ab774f4e081b9f93f6879840519656af94bdf5cc8. Family volume: $28K.
Price history
28¢ current
−4¢Orderbook snapshot
26 / 30¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x50084866…5cc8
Event family
Lecornu out as French PM by.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$28K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
December 31, 2026 28¢
Current share
26%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Liquidity Migration Across Resolution: Where the Money Goes When a Market Closes
When a flagship prediction market closes, the capital that was in it migrates to next-period siblings, adjacent categories, or off the venue entirely. Three migration patterns and the receiving-market opportunity.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter
How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State
Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 28% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.