What is the current probability for "Lorient at PSG: Totals"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 88¢ (88% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 16, 2026. 18 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Lorient at PSG: Totals"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 469.8% and 8538.9% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Lorient at PSG: Totals"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Lorient at PSG: Totals

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 88% probability that Lorient at PSG: Totals. This contract trades at 88¢ on Kalshi, closing May 16, 2026.

███████████████████████████████████░░░░░

88¢mid

Bid/Ask 81/95¢·Spread 14¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 16, 2026·18d remaining

KXLIGUE1TOTAL-26MAY02PSGFCL-1

7-day price146 snapshots · 5 regime

82¢81¢ current

Apr 251¢Apr 28

Resolution rules

If Lorient and PSG collectively score more than 1.5 total goals in the PSG vs Lorient professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 469.8%

IY (No) 8538.9%

Adj IY 7063%

CRI 4

RV 5642%

VR 6.37

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	469.8%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	8538.9%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	7063%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	4	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	5642%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	6.37	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.9/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	1.2%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.17	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/28/2026, 9:41:15 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 9:38:24 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXLIGUE1TOTAL-26MAY02PSGFCL-1 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →