SimpleFunctions
PolymarketSep 15, 2026129 days left

Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?

This contract is priced at 80¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 79¢ bid, 80¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

80¢
$4K volume
$6K liquidity
12% of event volume

Event outcomes

12

Family volume

$37K

Best sibling

Dominick Pangallo 2¢

Ticker

0xd2481bf8…f29a

Market snapshot

Dan Koh in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?. The displayed quote is 80¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $4K. In the MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #1 of 12 by current quote across 12 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Dan Koh

Family rank

#1 of 12

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

80¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Sep 15, 2026

Reported volume

$4K

Family context

12 outcomes · MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Quote range

0¢-80¢

Family leader

Dan Koh 80¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 6m ago

Venue identifier: 0xd2481bf85502225a8cfe44cdb7156dc3d8c4e73dc3b287c3177549ceb151f29a. Family volume: $37K.

Price history

80¢ current

2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

79 / 80¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
79¢100
78¢692
75¢25
64¢10
50¢107
46¢60
45¢200
36¢500
AskSize
80¢61
81¢1.3K
82¢50
83¢75
84¢160
90¢9
93¢80
94¢208

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Identifier

0xd2481bf8…f29a

Event family

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$37K

Outcomes

12

Highest price

Dan Koh 80¢

Current share

12%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

70.9%

IY (No)

1133.9%

Adj IY

567%

CRI

4

Overround

0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.432

Observability

medium

Event type

unknown

Full indicator table

70.9%
1133.9%
Adj IY
567%
4
Overround
0.0%

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