Will Mariah Lancaster be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
This contract is priced at 3¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 4¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
12
Family volume
$37K
Best sibling
Dominick Pangallo 1¢
Ticker
0xf9ef7fe7…809d
Market snapshot
Mariah Lancaster in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Mariah Lancaster be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?. The displayed quote is 3¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $2K. In the MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #4 of 12 by current quote across 12 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.
Outcome
Mariah Lancaster
Family rank
#4 of 12
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
3¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Sep 15, 2026
Reported volume
$2K
Family context
12 outcomes · MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Quote range
1¢-80¢
Family leader
Dan Koh 80¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 9m ago
Venue identifier: 0xf9ef7fe734da634f5cda8e06b1ba41e234fe3e199c543bf65a3a90d26831809d. Family volume: $37K.
Price history
3¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 5¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Identifier
0xf9ef7fe7…809d
Event family
MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$37K
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Dan Koh 80¢
Current share
5%
Mariah Lancaster
polymarket · 0xf9ef7fe734da634f5cda8e06b1ba41e234fe3e199c543bf65a3a90d26831809d
Dominick Pangallo
polymarket · 0x6917d1a8e4452a81e1b6a64d914e06c97d7a3d8c13dad222f02f1c3c553f9f77
Diann Slavit Baylis
polymarket · 0x945b5dbdda6b4258d4310ea4b27b9c63bc501092e085e698b3dcbcd6392c842d
Tram Nguyen
polymarket · 0xcb2dcf1ce5b85f4355b423ee084785f13d34007c13c0fb55bec2a62f4e1ffde3
Dan Koh
polymarket · 0xd2481bf85502225a8cfe44cdb7156dc3d8c4e73dc3b287c3177549ceb151f29a
Rick Jakious
polymarket · 0xcb2d9b9dd752d0eadaeafa2a226e1354302ffd205007fa514d097f593e0bcd2a
Jamie Zahlaway Belsito
polymarket · 0xd952c13c63db8e297fbc4afedd6c6dcddc323491d52dc7b96fbe3c14827d04dc
Rachel Creemers
polymarket · 0x228dc17acd4d8dedf849ef0660268be463c6bd34d2d6416b3fee00d6fcd177aa
Seth Moulton
polymarket · 0x18d3a6528371e1ea16cd50f955f0f45ea61c4c90a705a4f33d10eb02e9382f40
John Beccia
polymarket · 0x658ca3bd5e4191fda5115812dff5d3324e8401345456c4b1d627f6d0d5834908
Beth Andres-Beck
polymarket · 0xbafbc1b2357cc342cc8fc1876ab6616f8072787495b7cde71af69c13d9da9bee
Kevin Larivee
polymarket · 0x063dc6f60512bf8d5b3d0c5b30196b71d9bf0f473309565104dd29431306f0f3
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.432
Observability
medium
Event type
unknown
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