SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJan 1, 2027237 days left

Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch?

This contract is priced at 10¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 7¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

10¢
$5K volume
$195 liquidity
23% of event volume

Event outcomes

4

Family volume

$20K

Best sibling

$80M 20¢

Ticker

0x91edbbe0…d958

Market snapshot

$100M in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch?. The displayed quote is 10¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $5K. In the Makina FDV above ___ one day after launch? family, this outcome ranks #2 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

$100M

Family rank

#2 of 4

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

10¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2027

Reported volume

$5K

Family context

4 outcomes · Makina FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Quote range

3¢-20¢

Family leader

$80M 20¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC · 2m ago

Venue identifier: 0x91edbbe0e07534453f7fc775dbe25252191d6f24d06d5739b8f763ac1eeed958. Family volume: $20K.

Price history

10¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 10, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

7 / 12¢

Polymarket
5¢ spread
BidSize
100¢700
7¢53
6¢36
5¢7
4¢45
3¢108
2¢306
AskSize
12¢85
62¢21
63¢41
70¢53
76¢46
82¢44
85¢93
89¢164

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Makina's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Makina doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

0x91edbbe0…d958

Event family

Makina FDV above ___ one day after launch.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$20K

Outcomes

4

Highest price

$80M 20¢

Current share

23%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1388.1%

IY (No)

17.1%

Adj IY

694%

CRI

9

RV

1339%

VR

3.35

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1388.1%
17.1%
Adj IY
694%
9
RV
1339%
VR
3.35
IAR
1.7/h
Overround
-0.6%
LAS
0.50

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