SimpleFunctions

Malmo to win Malmo vs Halmstad

Malmo is priced at 64¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 64¢ bid, 65¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Malmo vs Halmstad Winner.

Price history

64¢ current

+3¢
60¢65¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Malmo wins the Malmo vs Halmstad professional Allsvenskan soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Malmo

Rank

#1 of 3

Leader

Malmo 64¢

Range

14¢-64¢

Family volume

$832

Identifier

KXALLSVENSKANGAME-26MAY30MALHAL-MAL

May 28, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 30m ago

Implied probability

64¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 30m ago

Bid

64¢

Ask

65¢

Spread

24h volume

$782

Family rank

#1 of 3

3 outcomes · Malmo vs Halmstad Winner

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Family volume

$832

Orderbook snapshot

64 / 65¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
64¢1.5K
63¢532
62¢1.7K
61¢542
60¢128
AskSize
65¢1.6K
66¢534
67¢3.2K
68¢1.5K
69¢503

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Malmo wins the Malmo vs Halmstad professional Allsvenskan soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Identifier

KXALLSVENSKANGAME-26MAY30MALHAL-MAL

SF Signal
SF Index
2052.54
Regime
neutral

Event family

Malmo vs Halmstad Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$832

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Malmo 64¢

Current share

94%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1298.9%

IY (No)

4105.1%

Adj IY

2053%

CRI

2

Overround

-0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1298.9%
4105.1%
Adj IY
2053%
2
Overround
-0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.