SimpleFunctions

Tie to win Malmo vs Halmstad

Tie is priced at 21¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 21¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Malmo vs Halmstad Winner.

Price history

21¢ current

+3¢
15¢20¢25¢
May 27, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Tie wins the Malmo vs Halmstad professional Allsvenskan soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Tie

Rank

#2 of 3

Leader

Malmo 64¢

Range

14¢-64¢

Family volume

$863

Identifier

KXALLSVENSKANGAME-26MAY30MALHAL-TIE

May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

21¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

20¢

Ask

21¢

Spread

24h volume

$50

Family rank

#2 of 3

3 outcomes · Malmo vs Halmstad Winner

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Family volume

$863

Orderbook snapshot

20 / 21¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
20¢1.8K
19¢375
18¢1.9K
17¢379
16¢2.6K
AskSize
21¢1.7K
22¢332
23¢1.9K
24¢375
25¢415

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Tie wins the Malmo vs Halmstad professional Allsvenskan soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Identifier

KXALLSVENSKANGAME-26MAY30MALHAL-TIE

SF Signal
SF Index
4655.02
Regime
neutral

Event family

Malmo vs Halmstad Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$863

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Malmo 64¢

Current share

6%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

9310.0%

IY (No)

581.9%

Adj IY

4655%

CRI

4

Overround

-0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

9310.0%
581.9%
Adj IY
4655%
4
Overround
-0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.