Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation between 4.00% and 4.49%
4.00% to 4.49% is priced at 50¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 16¢ bid, 70¢ ask, 54¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 8 inside Mexico Annual Inflation 2026.
Price history
50¢ current
+9¢Contract brief
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Outcome
4.00% to 4.49%
Rank
#1 of 8
Leader
4.00% to 4.49% 46¢
Range
2¢-46¢
Family volume
$42K
Identifier
0x92db92b0...0a04
Jun 3, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
16¢
Ask
70¢
Spread
54¢
Reported volume
$566
Family rank
#1 of 8
8 outcomes · Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
Closes
Jan 8, 2027
Family volume
$42K
Orderbook snapshot
16 / 70¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jan 8, 2027
Identifier
0x92db92b0…0a04
Event family
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$42K
Outcomes
8
Highest price
4.00% to 4.49% 46¢
Current share
1%
4.00% to 4.49%
polymarket · 0x92db92b0c2a161440cb8500db98b5883c475e5a5e3b869990fb4276bd1f70a04
2.50% to 2.99%
polymarket · 0xb5031e4b28187580fd7134a58b0bc6d681d836dc86003877958c222b4415e899
4.50% to 4.99%
polymarket · 0x36fff2366a37c4fd11014f53fa7499173b3f4663db0db6a0448a679c422d4683
3.50% to 3.99%
polymarket · 0x96e9ee9536dc0419d4b5ac0075c2d6ea3b8405687ee1bc2152c575b1cddb8cd5
5.00% to 5.49%
polymarket · 0x90c03947fd07e7116f2dba601a3e6601f1a0c057ef4b8e3f336371574a81f824
5.50%+
polymarket · 0xcefab2aa9aa3082a4a922d8044e7dc3373e4fa0c89f3f69a9d45b91cb5936a87
<2.50%
polymarket · 0x13d6c5ff12053298c4ed6bfc794a5e3adfec6300c413fd9d07c83e2362671f17
3.00% to 3.49%
polymarket · 0x039aecea63c2728234a00cbcf27ea0db3247c488b3cc97cf1cd213b2a4735edb
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
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