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Above 2.2% · Mexico unemployment rate in Apr 2026?: Above

Above 2.2% is priced at 97¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 94¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 11 inside Mexico unemployment rate in Apr 2026?: Above.

Price history

97¢ current

1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 27, 2026May 23, 2026

Contract brief

If the Mexico unemployment rate is above 2.2% for Apr 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 2.2%

Rank

#3 of 11

Leader

Above 1.9% 95¢

Range

3¢-95¢

Family volume

$433

Identifier

KXUE-MEX26MAY-2.2

May 25, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 24m ago

Implied probability

97¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 25, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 24m ago

Bid

94¢

Ask

99¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#3 of 11

11 outcomes · Mexico unemployment rate in Apr 2026?: Above

Closes

May 28, 2026

Family volume

$433

Orderbook snapshot

94 / 99¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
94¢200
87¢88
34¢84
32¢55
31¢630
AskSize
99¢51

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Mexico unemployment rate is above 2.2% for Apr 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 28, 2026

Identifier

KXUE-MEX26MAY-2.2

SF Signal
SF Index
50000.00
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

Country Unemployment Rate Forecast Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXUE series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

16

Overround

5.9%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.568

Observability

high

Event type

data_release

Full indicator table

16
Overround
5.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.