SimpleFunctions
PolymarketAug 4, 202687 days left

Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?

This contract is priced at 39¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 16¢ bid, 58¢ ask, 42¢ spread.

Implied probability

39¢
$4K volume
$322 liquidity
9% of event volume

Event outcomes

5

Family volume

$42K

Best sibling

Tim Greimel 33¢

Ticker

0x9f9fcc46…500f

Market snapshot

Eric Chung in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?. The displayed quote is 39¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $4K. In the MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #2 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Eric Chung

Family rank

#2 of 5

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

39¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Aug 4, 2026

Reported volume

$4K

Family context

5 outcomes · MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Quote range

0¢-40¢

Family leader

Christina Hines 40¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 6m ago

Venue identifier: 0x9f9fcc462b3a8f8a4919813ed390be771e565a352566e7beb8be227343d7500f. Family volume: $42K.

Price history

39¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 28, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

16 / 58¢

Polymarket
42¢ spread
BidSize
100¢100
16¢35
15¢12
10¢51
9¢50
AskSize
58¢88
75¢60
76¢30
77¢55
81¢55
82¢100
83¢6
85¢6

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 4, 2026

Identifier

0x9f9fcc46…500f

Event family

MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$42K

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Christina Hines 40¢

Current share

9%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

630.9%

IY (No)

280.4%

Adj IY

631%

CRI

2

RV

2716%

VR

11.22

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

630.9%
280.4%
Adj IY
631%
2
RV
2716%
VR
11.22
IAR
8.3/h
Overround
0.1%

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