SimpleFunctions
PolymarketAug 4, 202687 days left

Will Tim Greimel be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?

This contract is priced at 34¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 24¢ bid, 44¢ ask, 20¢ spread.

Implied probability

34¢
$30K volume
$3K liquidity
71% of event volume

Event outcomes

5

Family volume

$42K

Best sibling

Eric Chung 40¢

Ticker

0xbb633b3f…857e

Market snapshot

Tim Greimel in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Tim Greimel be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?. The displayed quote is 34¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $30K. In the MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #3 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

Tim Greimel

Family rank

#3 of 5

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

34¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Aug 4, 2026

Reported volume

$30K

Family context

5 outcomes · MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Quote range

0¢-40¢

Family leader

Eric Chung 40¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: 0xbb633b3f9459a3c89d6665ffb93c8e22095ada9ce6547f51965349af17d3857e. Family volume: $42K.

Price history

34¢ current

+8¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 12, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

24 / 44¢

Polymarket
20¢ spread
BidSize
24¢28
12¢10
11¢100
10¢51
9¢110
7¢254
6¢153
5¢455
AskSize
44¢45
45¢800
57¢6
68¢200
73¢187
74¢666
75¢800
77¢30

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 4, 2026

Identifier

0xbb633b3f…857e

Event family

MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$42K

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Eric Chung 40¢

Current share

71%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

817.0%

IY (No)

216.8%

Adj IY

817%

CRI

2

RV

903%

VR

2.88

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

817.0%
216.8%
Adj IY
817%
2
RV
903%
VR
2.88
IAR
1.3/h
Overround
0.1%

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