Miami vs New England Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 17% probability that Miami vs New England Winner?. This contract trades at 17¢ on Kalshi, closing May 9, 2026. This market appears to be experiencing a critical data anomaly: the 0¢ price contradicts the 9096% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting either a pricing error or that this contract has effectively ceased trading.
Analysis
This market appears to be experiencing a critical data anomaly: the 0¢ price contradicts the 9096% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting either a pricing error or that this contract has effectively ceased trading. With zero 24-hour volume and zero open interest despite a 7-cent spread and 21 days to expiry, the market lacks any meaningful liquidity, making the displayed metrics unreliable for actual trading. The extremely high cliff risk index (5) combined with the neutral regime and the unusual resolution condition (betting on a tie in an MLS match) indicates this is likely a stale or malfunctioning listing that should not be used for position-taking.
Resolution rules
If Tie wins the Miami vs New England professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXMLSGAME-26APR25MIANE-TIE yes 100