SimpleFunctions

Toronto to win Miami vs Toronto

Toronto is priced at 60¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 59¢ bid, 60¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Miami vs Toronto Winner.

Price history

60¢ current

+1¢
55¢60¢65¢
May 22, 2026May 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Toronto wins the Miami vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 25, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Toronto

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Toronto 59¢

Range

40¢-59¢

Family volume

$64K

Identifier

KXMLBGAME-26MAY251907MIATOR-TOR

May 25, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 18m ago

Implied probability

60¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 18m ago

Bid

59¢

Ask

60¢

Spread

24h volume

$50K

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · Miami vs Toronto Winner

Closes

May 28, 2026

Family volume

$64K

Orderbook snapshot

59 / 60¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
59¢59K
58¢182K
57¢204K
56¢2.1K
55¢1.0K
AskSize
60¢336K
61¢708K
62¢374K
63¢16K
64¢4.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Toronto wins the Miami vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 25, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 28, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBGAME-26MAY251907MIATOR-TOR

SF Signal
SF Index
11443.04
Regime
neutral

Event family

Miami vs Toronto Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$64K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Toronto 59¢

Current share

76%

Browse this series

MLB Game Winner Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXMLBGAME series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

1

VR

0.22

IAR

0.3/h

LAS

0.02

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1
VR
0.22
IAR
0.3/h
LAS
0.02

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.