What is the current probability for "Miami wins by over 1.5 runs?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 3¢ (3% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 6, 2026. 3 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Miami wins by over 1.5 runs?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 100000.0% and 381.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Miami wins by over 1.5 runs?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiMay 6, 20263 days left

Miami wins by over 1.5 runs?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

3¢

$4K volume

$3K liquidity

5% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$68K

Best sibling

Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 runs 95¢

Ticker

KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY031340PHIMIA-MIA2

Price history

3¢ current

−18¢

May 2, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 3¢

Kalshi

1¢ spread

BidSize

100¢1.2K

2¢254

AskSize

3¢2.0K

28¢56

29¢579

39¢1

49¢1

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Miami wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Philadelphia vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 6, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY031340PHIMIA-MIA2

Event family

KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY031340PHIMIA.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$68K

Outcomes