SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 19, 202614 days left

Minnesota wins by over 3.5 points?

This contract is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

13¢
$265 volume
$265 liquidity
0% of event volume

Event outcomes

11

Family volume

$215K

Best sibling

San Antonio wins by over 12.5 points 51¢

Ticker

KXNBASPREAD-26MAY04MINSAS-MIN3

Price history

13¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 4, 2026May 4, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 12¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
11¢87
7¢155
6¢4.6K
5¢678
4¢5.0K
AskSize
12¢1.0K
13¢830
15¢876
16¢850

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Minnesota wins the Minnesota at San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 4, 2026 by more than 3.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 19, 2026

Identifier

KXNBASPREAD-26MAY04MINSAS-MIN3

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

20375.2%

IY (No)

311.2%

Adj IY

10188%

CRI

8

Overround

3.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

20375.2%
311.2%
Adj IY
10188%
8
Overround
3.0%

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Opinionessay

Prediction market liquidity: why depth matters more than volume for serious traders

Why orderbook depth matters more than volume for prediction market traders. Real Kalshi examples, liquidity scoring framework, and how to avoid slippage.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index