Will Cal Raleigh win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?
This contract is priced at 8¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 3¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 9¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
10
Family volume
$4K
Best sibling
Aaron Judge 35¢
Ticker
0x3da34b89…877f
Price history
8¢ current
−11¢Orderbook snapshot
3 / 12¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Nov 13, 2026
Identifier
0x3da34b89…877f
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 7¢, +1¢ versus this page.
Event family
MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Aaron Judge 35¢
Current share
83%
Cal Raleigh
polymarket · 0x3da34b8984fc18f9894a7afb26e68fa4bee5f060d11549f61256336cafee877f
Aaron Judge
polymarket · 0xb040d3eff979a01b34d6c5952faf1c490e77c7a4f8dff3733e3d826d37525c2d
Bobby Witt Jr.
polymarket · 0x01bc044b2cb4175110308b6d35feb6fa8dfe96881108c0a9bb5743a6248209d6
Yordan Alvarez
polymarket · 0x396b535aa31e56ac8cef5b26f271eb5c132b3dbe6e10988d49f88d63fc3bfd58
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
polymarket · 0xeda10cc8809a8a6f8723b6ba1dabac71bebf02844fc1d422292d73bfc0b7ebde
Julio Rodríguez
polymarket · 0x2dd5e7b822f28c63abff6c4308f41b1b3471145127a318d82c6cb02b216b6f85
José Ramírez
polymarket · 0x6359895f8a3da37cb8c9568b40fc418e7b7c8fc5365a605ce5275fda5aaf44d7
Nick Kurtz
polymarket · 0xb509c405fd1320c8509c45218fb4a8c2579cc255c6130e0bd714ab165cc8fcd4
Gunnar Henderson
polymarket · 0xeb0cd3ab2569257a3586b8dddeae802dfe4da91b6ad9ca610001f84894f94523
Corey Seager
polymarket · 0x9169a4ac35044157c846fda10e0aa5ef9d6695f4c0a89de2d8cd33181ab5094e
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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