Bobby Witt Jr · MLB: Runs Leader
Bobby Witt Jr. is priced at 5¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 3¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside MLB: Runs Leader.
Price history
5¢ current
Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Bobby Witt Jr.
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Shohei Ohtani 26¢
Range
1¢-26¢
Family volume
$5K
Identifier
0x263e7f22...7fd3
May 28, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$116
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · MLB: Runs Leader
Closes
Sep 28, 2026
Family volume
$5K
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 7¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Sep 28, 2026
Identifier
0x263e7f22…7fd3
Event family
MLB: Runs Leader.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Shohei Ohtani 26¢
Current share
3%
Shohei Ohtani
polymarket · 0x3d7530a395282b2fadc036acab34a868bddbd5d767cef9f37bf366c040ba1b73
Aaron Judge
polymarket · 0x5605e752e1c86f18ab0fd1cefb045b3ee732151f746d17c63f97e3567b2b41d0
Bobby Witt Jr.
polymarket · 0x263e7f22fbd0acada20b2af62ca7dedfe62119b0a7438d05fe597792e0067fd3
Drake Baldwin
polymarket · 0x14cf7c550bb099e56c4f5899be81a3a3001cd8f03c70ee2e7816788f73ef3342
Mike Trout
polymarket · 0x919c20d37feb5c4ed66c426a59de51dcdf911f63f224243b3a36d4a595ecab26
Dansby Swanson
polymarket · 0x147afb02e0608dcc2e7c3e47cbf0925fbc01c3d7fec847bc5190cf7fe63bb4e9
Juan Soto
polymarket · 0x0589f7be18b79ba303df3f9126b98171a74b6eed3d4ccf1252e6a11714cefb8c
Fernando Tatis Jr.
polymarket · 0x6caa6089075e906a3fbedf23ef5e7bc1de036daf23cedc28fc3bbf29e7844ea7
Elly De La Cruz
polymarket · 0xb6deb32631c160f941a6f013eb9ef884e02a83407172ee2a275a835b57c12e73
José Ramírez
polymarket · 0x7dc591f9aff23da76201273cc407a0af613408153e9655ae898d15b365306077
Julio Rodríguez
polymarket · 0xbd0f9b9653eaefe25a891d7ecec61404d0c19bbb1f29eda30c9a9ee782a33595
Francisco Lindor
polymarket · 0xee452a78bb19e3c78d7a1a35ca56999247f84eb95a96249472dad2dae876d9ed
George Springer
polymarket · 0x50d728c25ec4d67d18ed001d331a02b356ba8e1860ed3568a34cd369b5f66c86
Gunnar Henderson
polymarket · 0x3b90e3c4776e73f25d33f745a0324e7d27e5c0efc111c1284a0faf4db664c1d9
Yordan Alvarez
polymarket · 0x79e2c5eabe3907e563333506bcb8418cee6eb3babd6870bdd47cf1f516185e38
Randy Arozarena
polymarket · 0x106286931f8475fc67aad9b3de7d7672fdb187bc66acde1d6af8c1fd80f149a9
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.