New York Yankees · MLB: Team to make postseason
New York Yankees is priced at 94¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 93¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside MLB: Team to make postseason.
Price history
94¢ current
+12¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2026 MLB Playoffs per the rules of the MLB. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will not be considered part of the MLB Playoffs. If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after October 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the full 12-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by MLB within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
New York Yankees
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
New York Yankees 94¢
Range
4¢-94¢
Family volume
$14K
Identifier
0xa6d1fc20...3a7d
May 28, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
93¢
Ask
94¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$31
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · MLB: Team to make postseason
Closes
Sep 28, 2026
Family volume
$14K
Orderbook snapshot
93 / 94¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2026 MLB Playoffs per the rules of the MLB. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will not be considered part of the MLB Playoffs. If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after October 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the full 12-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by MLB within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Sep 28, 2026
Identifier
0xa6d1fc20…3a7d
Event family
MLB: Team to make postseason.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$14K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
New York Yankees 94¢
Current share
6%
New York Yankees
polymarket · 0xa6d1fc208b361654085bd728d3d46d7804e0abfd3a2e28ade7116188e0083a7d
Milwaukee Brewers
polymarket · 0x0efd8e0ac2e9e3cd95020d13803018275f1da007e9cc51cba5706df505d4707c
Tampa Bay Rays
polymarket · 0xa3ab3ea81486d43ff5e669b9ba11c2ebf773ab77c1390104604317844f4a2db3
Cleveland Guardians
polymarket · 0xd48a95716d6e623b7d6b2479d4a0bac194c6cdeb5e613accf344ff74b0a291d0
Chicago Cubs
polymarket · 0xc5718b12deedeb04c75424bbcae29b2bb9554df6d1698ebc553892e93b97ece0
Arizona Diamondbacks
polymarket · 0x75f6946fd786d3939105ce4003c8f402aab58de7b1ad00723660df2e204ee224
San Diego Padres
polymarket · 0xaea696503cfa22d1a4d8b5afeb20a09a91c506a545c931750521a25684095ae6
Philadelphia Phillies
polymarket · 0x7276226857e16ce7131ed5f2bacdf4b62a44063ad7e67ba8a3203138dea05986
Pittsburgh Pirates
polymarket · 0xd535313069b11b67eb00384cb15355ef16406beaa4e58c177ac8fb8f12149e82
St. Louis Cardinals
polymarket · 0xb6272bfaf4f53c57dea7cb8c5b4b943cf10896808d2dc34e7692c6bc3153d428
Cincinnati Reds
polymarket · 0x24d1bd4c30ad89ca26c7733cf08718b8a6791373ecbed28accbd8db30d0c40d3
Detroit Tigers
polymarket · 0x3c2b3d8cabb6276ed05a5cb6bee3fd7e78c12d5ce7e5d150e21386f70495efdb
Chicago White Sox
polymarket · 0xa60f0caf2ddf4219290e0ff03c741578b5e1854139c086831553125dd7b7d6da
Houston Astros
polymarket · 0x7831787b7a76057a1ee173071484b63294a19a8c654c6c1c0a12a807c9160982
Washington Nationals
polymarket · 0xa8f4b8ab6878149db82cc2c438b4c15c4264176ccb1f703204f4f3252040cf8a
Los Angeles Angels
polymarket · 0x87012d225198274f5628f368fee645668479b96c0524c6880165f8dfcf93b142
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State
Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Resolution Ambiguity Score: Quantifying Rule-Risk Per Market
A heuristic 0-10 score for the rule risk on a prediction market, based on edge case count, venue dispute history, and source-of-truth specificity. The pre-trade discipline that catches Polymarket UMA disputes and Kalshi rule-mismatches before they catch you.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 94% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.