Washington Nationals · MLB: Team to make postseason
Washington Nationals is priced at 24¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 4¢ bid, 44¢ ask, 40¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside MLB: Team to make postseason.
Price history
24¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2026 MLB Playoffs per the rules of the MLB. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will not be considered part of the MLB Playoffs. If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after October 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the full 12-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by MLB within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Washington Nationals
Rank
#13 of 16
Leader
New York Yankees 87¢
Range
14¢-87¢
Family volume
$12K
Identifier
0xa8f4b8ab...cf8a
May 24, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
44¢
Spread
40¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#13 of 16
16 outcomes · MLB: Team to make postseason
Closes
Sep 28, 2026
Family volume
$12K
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 44¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2026 MLB Playoffs per the rules of the MLB. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will not be considered part of the MLB Playoffs. If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after October 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the full 12-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by MLB within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Sep 28, 2026
Identifier
0xa8f4b8ab…cf8a
Event family
MLB: Team to make postseason.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$12K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
New York Yankees 87¢
Current share
0%
New York Yankees
polymarket · 0xa6d1fc208b361654085bd728d3d46d7804e0abfd3a2e28ade7116188e0083a7d
Tampa Bay Rays
polymarket · 0xa3ab3ea81486d43ff5e669b9ba11c2ebf773ab77c1390104604317844f4a2db3
Atlanta Braves
polymarket · 0xc123063a7671abbcedba8f6b91009a809ce34b9d80f4fbe030bc7a11b3622c5e
Milwaukee Brewers
polymarket · 0x0efd8e0ac2e9e3cd95020d13803018275f1da007e9cc51cba5706df505d4707c
Cleveland Guardians
polymarket · 0xd48a95716d6e623b7d6b2479d4a0bac194c6cdeb5e613accf344ff74b0a291d0
San Diego Padres
polymarket · 0xaea696503cfa22d1a4d8b5afeb20a09a91c506a545c931750521a25684095ae6
Philadelphia Phillies
polymarket · 0x7276226857e16ce7131ed5f2bacdf4b62a44063ad7e67ba8a3203138dea05986
Pittsburgh Pirates
polymarket · 0xd535313069b11b67eb00384cb15355ef16406beaa4e58c177ac8fb8f12149e82
Arizona Diamondbacks
polymarket · 0x75f6946fd786d3939105ce4003c8f402aab58de7b1ad00723660df2e204ee224
St. Louis Cardinals
polymarket · 0xb6272bfaf4f53c57dea7cb8c5b4b943cf10896808d2dc34e7692c6bc3153d428
Detroit Tigers
polymarket · 0x3c2b3d8cabb6276ed05a5cb6bee3fd7e78c12d5ce7e5d150e21386f70495efdb
Chicago White Sox
polymarket · 0xa60f0caf2ddf4219290e0ff03c741578b5e1854139c086831553125dd7b7d6da
Cincinnati Reds
polymarket · 0x24d1bd4c30ad89ca26c7733cf08718b8a6791373ecbed28accbd8db30d0c40d3
Washington Nationals
polymarket · 0xa8f4b8ab6878149db82cc2c438b4c15c4264176ccb1f703204f4f3252040cf8a
New York Mets
polymarket · 0xa773f4b0b6ca3d2ea65012f858eca2ea66f0720b2be65de170e6bbebbfcce4c5
Houston Astros
polymarket · 0x7831787b7a76057a1ee173071484b63294a19a8c654c6c1c0a12a807c9160982
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.