Boston Red Sox · MLB: Team to win 100+ games
Boston Red Sox is priced at 3¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside MLB: Team to win 100+ games.
Price history
3¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team wins 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB regular season (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will be considered part of the MLB regular season. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed team has won 100 or more games within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Boston Red Sox
Rank
#10 of 16
Leader
Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢
Range
1¢-63¢
Family volume
$110K
Identifier
0x0e28a6d3...5e6b
Jun 17, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
5¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$54
Family rank
#10 of 16
16 outcomes · MLB: Team to win 100+ games
Closes
Sep 28, 2026
Family volume
$110K
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 5¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team wins 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB regular season (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will be considered part of the MLB regular season. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed team has won 100 or more games within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Sep 28, 2026
Identifier
0x0e28a6d3…5e6b
Event family
MLB: Team to win 100+ games.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$110K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢
Current share
0%
Los Angeles Dodgers
polymarket · 0x298b73b51eddad6e9c04df6ef51424067fe5d3287450e473244313cad8b3eb68
Atlanta Braves
polymarket · 0x02ad218ef246d057761415505e75c79e1aba206843beeb8010acc5d6c3106967
Milwaukee Brewers
polymarket · 0xaa45db093e4196724e4e35c3758cb66267ab940a313567e35bf3c9212c648671
Philadelphia Phillies
polymarket · 0xf2028a6abf40583ef0011afd841043ad99ba2e22ad987d0d50ebcb95c82f4fcc
Chicago Cubs
polymarket · 0x2ab6efabc9f7847a4947e8761e265df47c6eebed22b9465d7878d374ea80e9b4
San Diego Padres
polymarket · 0xa8cf401712e28bb251d973373619467dbfedbd9be9f6206d76ece838c16f045d
Detroit Tigers
polymarket · 0x84a2706ca89194930fdca774f0d0a7099e3b08ec4387087e864757eb7a739d72
Toronto Blue Jays
polymarket · 0x45c2a4d69beb1ac99708051a5df4781f8924a3ba26b3869301c71f97d1f61b0b
Chicago White Sox
polymarket · 0xb580c8555d3a85118abc80a1952738df1a6a899555f9b874b7dc96fc17aca641
Boston Red Sox
polymarket · 0x0e28a6d331a0a433971f43c0eb4a4abc32d96fa26c8af2b5741d89077ea75e6b
Colorado Rockies
polymarket · 0x240398e6a91b57c69d3aa749f0d45f58e6ba6e8888ecd47cd84ff7d3e1b08339
Minnesota Twins
polymarket · 0x33fee6caae8a2ea6237e4d6500efa00260da47d418b33d74565405f4bfec8c1d
Washington Nationals
polymarket · 0x3560714f60b2ee32ae1c9dc1fcd8c0606b2612a404f6319d9775d35351d28047
Arizona Diamondbacks
polymarket · 0x75df5128f5b495ac3ca7f79d9200d98e35fc65c81ea07d0e0ee24d5806b2fcda
Cleveland Guardians
polymarket · 0x426b19790fc9f1ed466ffed7804c643a24d9782b722cac9b62ffb6c6f8daebdc
New York Mets
polymarket · 0xdbf9e8a4b3b0d335df92d3b6d22b298a94e0fbcbee0e97c43b9667901c2c18fc
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.