SimpleFunctions

Colorado Rockies · MLB: Team to win 100+ games

Colorado Rockies is priced at 3¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside MLB: Team to win 100+ games.

Price history

3¢ current

+1¢
0¢5¢
May 26, 2026Jun 17, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team wins 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB regular season (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will be considered part of the MLB regular season. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed team has won 100 or more games within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome

Colorado Rockies

Rank

#10 of 16

Leader

Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢

Range

1¢-63¢

Family volume

$110K

Identifier

0x240398e6...8339

Jun 17, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 1h ago

Implied probability

3¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 17, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 1h ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$44

Family rank

#10 of 16

16 outcomes · MLB: Team to win 100+ games

Closes

Sep 28, 2026

Family volume

$110K

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 4¢

Polymarket
3¢ spread
BidSize
100¢26
0¢492
0¢55
0¢100
AskSize
4¢16
4¢15
5¢100
5¢100
6¢100
7¢100
9¢100
10¢500

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team wins 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB regular season (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will be considered part of the MLB regular season. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed team has won 100 or more games within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Sep 28, 2026

Identifier

0x240398e6…8339

SF Signal
SF Index
11514.50
Regime
neutral

Event family

MLB: Team to win 100+ games.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$110K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢

Current share

0%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Los Angeles Dodgers

polymarket · 0x298b73b51eddad6e9c04df6ef51424067fe5d3287450e473244313cad8b3eb68

63¢
$128$0

Atlanta Braves

polymarket · 0x02ad218ef246d057761415505e75c79e1aba206843beeb8010acc5d6c3106967

61¢
$100$0

Milwaukee Brewers

polymarket · 0xaa45db093e4196724e4e35c3758cb66267ab940a313567e35bf3c9212c648671

34¢
$13K$0

Philadelphia Phillies

polymarket · 0xf2028a6abf40583ef0011afd841043ad99ba2e22ad987d0d50ebcb95c82f4fcc

8¢
$49$0

Chicago Cubs

polymarket · 0x2ab6efabc9f7847a4947e8761e265df47c6eebed22b9465d7878d374ea80e9b4

7¢
$14K$01.3

San Diego Padres

polymarket · 0xa8cf401712e28bb251d973373619467dbfedbd9be9f6206d76ece838c16f045d

5¢
$80$05.8

Detroit Tigers

polymarket · 0x84a2706ca89194930fdca774f0d0a7099e3b08ec4387087e864757eb7a739d72

4¢
$190$0

Toronto Blue Jays

polymarket · 0x45c2a4d69beb1ac99708051a5df4781f8924a3ba26b3869301c71f97d1f61b0b

4¢
$44$0

Chicago White Sox

polymarket · 0xb580c8555d3a85118abc80a1952738df1a6a899555f9b874b7dc96fc17aca641

4¢
$44$0

Boston Red Sox

polymarket · 0x0e28a6d331a0a433971f43c0eb4a4abc32d96fa26c8af2b5741d89077ea75e6b

3¢
$54$0

Colorado Rockies

polymarket · 0x240398e6a91b57c69d3aa749f0d45f58e6ba6e8888ecd47cd84ff7d3e1b08339

3¢
$44$0

Minnesota Twins

polymarket · 0x33fee6caae8a2ea6237e4d6500efa00260da47d418b33d74565405f4bfec8c1d

3¢
$44$0

Washington Nationals

polymarket · 0x3560714f60b2ee32ae1c9dc1fcd8c0606b2612a404f6319d9775d35351d28047

3¢
$44$0

Arizona Diamondbacks

polymarket · 0x75df5128f5b495ac3ca7f79d9200d98e35fc65c81ea07d0e0ee24d5806b2fcda

3¢
$44$0

Cleveland Guardians

polymarket · 0x426b19790fc9f1ed466ffed7804c643a24d9782b722cac9b62ffb6c6f8daebdc

1¢
$81K$0

New York Mets

polymarket · 0xdbf9e8a4b3b0d335df92d3b6d22b298a94e0fbcbee0e97c43b9667901c2c18fc

1¢
$412$0

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

11514.5%

IY (No)

11.0%

Adj IY

11515%

CRI

32

RV

6705%

VR

4.29

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

11514.5%
11.0%
Adj IY
11515%
32
RV
6705%
VR
4.29
IAR
1.9/h
Overround
2.2%

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Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.