Will Cameron Knowles win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $685k open interest, and a massive 51¢ spread indicating significant pricing uncertainty. The price has collapsed 47% over seven days from 49¢ to 26¢, suggesting either new information about Knowles' coaching prospects or a shift in market sentiment, though the neutral regime score suggests no clear directional bias. The 477% implied yield on the Yes side is extraordinarily high relative to the 239% risk-adjusted yield, reflecting the low probability and illiquidity premium rather than genuine edge, making this a speculative position best avoided without fresh volume confirmation.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the coach who wins the 2026 MLS Coach of the Year award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Regime

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