SimpleFunctions
PolymarketAug 11, 202694 days left

Will Kaela Berg be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?

This contract is priced at 13¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 11¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

13¢
$3K volume
$2K liquidity
8% of event volume

Event outcomes

3

Family volume

$31K

Best sibling

Matt Little 64¢

Ticker

0x268f4042…0d7c

Market snapshot

Kaela Berg in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Kaela Berg be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?. The displayed quote is 13¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $3K. In the MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #2 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 9:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Kaela Berg

Family rank

#2 of 3

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

13¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Aug 11, 2026

Reported volume

$3K

Family context

3 outcomes · MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Quote range

11¢-64¢

Family leader

Matt Little 64¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 9:53 AM UTC · 4m ago

Venue identifier: 0x268f4042d495b0a3ea61e794c664f1d3796f3a0fc5dab7bf1ad5bfdbf7850d7c. Family volume: $31K.

Price history

13¢ current

13¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 16¢

Polymarket
5¢ spread
BidSize
11¢42
11¢12
6¢38
6¢13
6¢10
4¢200
4¢103
2¢452
AskSize
16¢1
16¢40
52¢200
52¢80
58¢7
63¢40
65¢169
67¢350

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 11, 2026

Identifier

0x268f4042…0d7c

Event family

MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$31K

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Matt Little 64¢

Current share

8%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3155.5%

IY (No)

48.2%

Adj IY

2008%

CRI

8

RV

1896%

VR

3.46

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3155.5%
48.2%
Adj IY
2008%
8
RV
1896%
VR
3.46
IAR
1.9/h
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
0.36

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