Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?
This contract is priced at 86¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 85¢ bid, 87¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$24K
Best sibling
Latonya Reeves 13¢
Ticker
0x80598971…0d31
Market snapshot
Ilhan Omar in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?. The displayed quote is 86¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $20K. In the MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #1 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
Ilhan Omar
Family rank
#1 of 2
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
86¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Aug 11, 2026
Reported volume
$20K
Family context
2 outcomes · MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner
Quote range
13¢-86¢
Family leader
Ilhan Omar 86¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 7m ago
Venue identifier: 0x805989714fd56adb1fda05206d993bc60aa133f2331580ab69df906f65360d31. Family volume: $24K.
Price history
86¢ current
+1¢Orderbook snapshot
85 / 87¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Aug 11, 2026
Identifier
0x80598971…0d31
Event family
MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$24K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Ilhan Omar 86¢
Current share
82%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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