June 30 · Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by
June 30 is priced at 11¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 10¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?.
Price history
11¢ current
−29¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Outcome
June 30
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
June 30 10¢
Range
3¢-10¢
Family volume
$433K
Identifier
0x8840f55c...ab40
May 28, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
10¢
Ask
11¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$7K
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Family volume
$433K
Orderbook snapshot
10 / 11¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0x8840f55c…ab40
Event family
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$433K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
June 30 10¢
Current share
2%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.