SimpleFunctions
PolymarketMay 12, 2026

Will Dan Frei be the Republican nominee for NE-02?

This contract is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

1¢
$9K volume
$8K liquidity
29% of event volume

Event outcomes

3

Family volume

$33K

Best sibling

Brett Lindstrom 0¢

Ticker

0x84169ee0…ce18

Market snapshot

Dan Frei in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Dan Frei be the Republican nominee for NE-02?. The displayed quote is 1¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $105. In the NE-02 Republican Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #2 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 9:12 AM UTC.

Outcome

Dan Frei

Family rank

#2 of 3

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 12, 2026

24h volume

$105

Family context

3 outcomes · NE-02 Republican Primary Winner

Quote range

0¢-99¢

Family leader

Brinker Harding 99¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 9:12 AM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: 0x84169ee0526d9f65fc6fa07187ef848f201470b93f9febb2a72f8d991f44ce18. Family volume: $33K.

Price history

1¢ current

2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 11, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 1¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
0¢7.1K
0¢1.7K
0¢100
AskSize
2¢5
3¢40
3¢94
100¢35
100¢110
100¢210
100¢207
100¢227

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

May 12, 2026

Identifier

0x84169ee0…ce18

Event family

NE-02 Republican Primary Winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$33K

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Brinker Harding 99¢

Current share

29%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.432

Observability

medium

Event type

unknown

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