Japan to win Netherlands vs Japan
Japan is priced at 28¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Netherlands vs Japan Winner.
Price history
28¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If Japan wins the Netherlands vs Japan professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Japan
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Netherlands 47¢
Range
24¢-47¢
Family volume
$486
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN14NEDJPN-JPN
May 27, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
25¢
Ask
27¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$384
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · Netherlands vs Japan Winner
Closes
Jun 28, 2026
Family volume
$486
Orderbook snapshot
25 / 27¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Japan wins the Netherlands vs Japan professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 28, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN14NEDJPN-JPN
Event family
Netherlands vs Japan Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$486
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Netherlands 47¢
Current share
79%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.