SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 31, 2026236 days left

New pandemic in 2026?

This contract is priced at 14¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 13¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

14¢
$312K volume
$24K liquidity
100% of event volume

Event outcomes

1

Family volume

$312K

Best sibling

Ticker

0xfaa433e1…43fe

Market snapshot

New pandemic in 2026 in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for New pandemic in 2026?. The displayed quote is 14¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $9K. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

New pandemic in 2026

Family rank

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

14¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2026

24h volume

$9K

Family context

Standalone contract

Quote range

Family leader

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 6m ago

Venue identifier: 0xfaa433e162e020c56c522acb2f9f7215ce6e4e4391c4fb42beba14275c0a43fe. Family volume: $312K.

Price history

14¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 11, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

13 / 14¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
13¢540
12¢3.3K
11¢8.1K
10¢3.4K
9¢4.4K
8¢7.3K
7¢15K
6¢7.3K
AskSize
14¢2.2K
15¢2.7K
16¢2.1K
17¢7.0K
18¢339
19¢1.0K
20¢1.2K
21¢10

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0xfaa433e1…43fe

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at 17¢, -3¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Event family

New pandemic in 2026.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$312K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

New pandemic in 2026 14¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

950.9%

IY (No)

25.2%

Adj IY

883%

CRI

6

RV

568%

VR

1.67

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

scientific

Full indicator table

950.9%
25.2%
Adj IY
883%
6
RV
568%
VR
1.67
IAR
0.6/h
LAS
0.07

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