SimpleFunctions

Denver Outlaws to win New York Atlas vs Denver Outlaws

Denver Outlaws is priced at 49¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 38¢ bid, 47¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside New York Atlas vs Denver Outlaws Winner.

Price history

49¢ current

+47¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 27, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Denver Outlaws wins the New York Atlas vs Denver Outlaws Premier Lacrosse League game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Denver Outlaws

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

New York Atlas 46¢

Range

38¢-46¢

Family volume

$10

Identifier

KXPLLGAME-26MAY30NYADEN-DEN

May 28, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

49¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

38¢

Ask

47¢

Spread

24h volume

$9

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · New York Atlas vs Denver Outlaws Winner

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Family volume

$10

Orderbook snapshot

38 / 47¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
100¢300
38¢230
16¢333
5¢52
4¢1.8K
AskSize
47¢17
48¢15
49¢159
51¢300
54¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Denver Outlaws wins the New York Atlas vs Denver Outlaws Premier Lacrosse League game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Identifier

KXPLLGAME-26MAY30NYADEN-DEN

SF Signal
SF Index
1866.50
Regime
neutral

Event family

New York Atlas vs Denver Outlaws Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$10

Outcomes

2

Highest price

New York Atlas 46¢

Current share

90%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3733.0%
1402.3%
Adj IY
1867%
2

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.