New York Atlas to win New York Atlas vs Denver Outlaws
New York Atlas is priced at 61¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 47¢ bid, 59¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside New York Atlas vs Denver Outlaws Winner.
Price history
61¢ current
+59¢Contract brief
If New York Atlas wins the New York Atlas vs Denver Outlaws Premier Lacrosse League game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
New York Atlas
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
New York Atlas 47¢
Range
38¢-47¢
Family volume
$10
Identifier
KXPLLGAME-26MAY30NYADEN-NYA
May 28, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
47¢
Ask
59¢
Spread
12¢
24h volume
$1
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · New York Atlas vs Denver Outlaws Winner
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Family volume
$10
Orderbook snapshot
47 / 59¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If New York Atlas wins the New York Atlas vs Denver Outlaws Premier Lacrosse League game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Identifier
KXPLLGAME-26MAY30NYADEN-NYA
Event family
New York Atlas vs Denver Outlaws Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$10
Outcomes
2
Highest price
New York Atlas 47¢
Current share
10%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.