SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 12, 20264 days left

New York M wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

This contract is priced at 21¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 17¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 7¢ spread.

Implied probability

21¢
$0 volume
liquidity

Event outcomes

4

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

Arizona -2.5 first 5 innings 14¢

Ticker

KXMLBF5SPREAD-26MAY091915NYMAZ-NYM3

Market snapshot

New York M -2.5 first 5 innings in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for New York M wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?. The displayed quote is 21¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. In the KXMLBF5SPREAD-26MAY091915NYMAZ family, this outcome ranks #3 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

New York M -2.5 first 5 innings

Family rank

#3 of 4

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

21¢

Quote source

Bid/ask midpoint

Timing

Listed until May 12, 2026

Reported volume

Family context

4 outcomes · KXMLBF5SPREAD-26MAY091915NYMAZ

Quote range

14¢-25¢

Family leader

Arizona -1.5 first 5 innings 25¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 2m ago

Venue identifier: KXMLBF5SPREAD-26MAY091915NYMAZ-NYM3. Family volume: .

Price history

21¢ current

+19¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 8, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

17 / 24¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
17¢51
15¢352
13¢10
12¢1.0K
11¢5.0K
AskSize
24¢58
26¢600
28¢117
29¢1.0K
30¢5.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If New York M wins by more than 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the New York M vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 12, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBF5SPREAD-26MAY091915NYMAZ-NYM3

Event family

KXMLBF5SPREAD-26MAY091915NYMAZ.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Arizona -1.5 first 5 innings 25¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

5

VR

0.83

IAR

2.5/h

Overround

-0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5
VR
0.83
IAR
2.5/h
Overround
-0.2%

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