What is the current probability for "Will Enzo Maresca be appointed as manager of Manchester United?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 3¢ (3% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on December 31, 2026. 251 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Enzo Maresca be appointed as manager of Manchester United?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 4710.4% and 4.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Enzo Maresca be appointed as manager of Manchester United?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Enzo Maresca be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Will Enzo Maresca be appointed as manager of Manchester United?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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3¢

Bid/Ask 1/6¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $0·OI $1,623.642·Closes Dec 31, 2026·251d remaining

0xe58164f11bfa04c35cb608efcb33f886e8ccc1814a1070b592b93394fd00eac1

7-day price472 snapshots · 2 regime

5¢3¢ current

Apr 82¢Apr 23

Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at —¢

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.94Close-time delta 3466h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4710.4%

IY (No) 4.5%

Adj IY 2355%

CRI 32

Overround 0.0%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	4710.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	4.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	2355%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	32	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

5¢

Computed

4/24/2026, 11:05:08 AM

Indicators computed 4/24/2026, 10:53:43 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0xe58164f11bfa04c35cb608efcb33f886e8ccc1814a1070b592b93394fd00eac1 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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