Will Kieran McKenna be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

McKenna's 3¢ price reflects extremely low market conviction despite his prominence as a potential United candidate, with the astronomical 4575.7% implied yield on the Yes side indicating massive asymmetric payoff potential if appointed. The zero 24-hour volume combined with $1.1M open interest suggests this is a low-liquidity position market where the tight 0¢ spread masks potential slippage on larger trades. With 258 days to expiry and a moderate 32 cliff risk index, the market appears to be pricing in either strong consensus around alternative candidates or significant uncertainty about United's managerial timeline, making this a speculative long-shot bet rather than a consensus outcome.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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