What is the current probability for "Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 34¢ (34% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on September 13, 2026. 127 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 559.0% and 148.3% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

PolymarketSep 13, 2026127 days left

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 34¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 33¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Open on Polymarket JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

34¢

$56K volume

$23K liquidity

3% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$1.9M

Best sibling

Jimmie Åkesson 2¢

Ticker

0x8a42bb4c…8894

Market snapshot

Ulf Kristersson in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?. The displayed quote is 34¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $242. In the Next Prime Minister of Sweden family, this outcome ranks #2 of 10 by current quote across 10 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Ulf Kristersson

Family rank

#2 of 10

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

34¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Sep 13, 2026

24h volume

$242

Family context

10 outcomes · Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Quote range

0¢-65¢

Family leader

Magdalena Andersson 65¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 8m ago

Venue identifier: 0x8a42bb4cb9b9f157b539611f6a8c122388f652570cfc3c07d538e7df2bb78894. Family volume: $1.9M.

Price history

34¢ current

−3¢

25¢50¢75¢100¢

Apr 9, 2026May 5, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

33 / 34¢

Polymarket

1¢ spread

BidSize

33¢109

31¢478

21¢90

20¢45

16¢301

15¢338

14¢200

13¢790

AskSize

34¢1.6K

35¢1.8K

36¢1.1K

37¢1.2K

38¢348

39¢453

40¢2.1K

41¢327

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Sep 13, 2026

Identifier

0x8a42bb4c…8894

Event family

Next Prime Minister of Sweden.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$1.9M

Outcomes

Highest price

Magdalena Andersson 65¢

Current share

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Ulf Kristersson

polymarket · 0x8a42bb4cb9b9f157b539611f6a8c122388f652570cfc3c07d538e7df2bb78894

34¢$56K$242—

Jimmie Åkesson

polymarket · 0x86fa2351e7a9469fd8bcd9a28ad5e300a59c3764747ad1eb7d6248546efbabfd