Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
This contract is priced at 2¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 0¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$14.2M
Best sibling
Donald Trump 7¢
Ticker
0x36081a32…f5d1
Price history
2¢ current
−1¢Orderbook snapshot
2 / 2¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Oct 10, 2026
Identifier
0x36081a32…f5d1
Event family
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$14.2M
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Donald Trump 7¢
Current share
5%
International Court of Justice
polymarket · 0x36081a32ac369bad207447fa2bc5d6d663fb576e935178a4a297931ec571f5d1
Donald Trump
polymarket · 0x962e5b226a77266ab429029ee04665e8fcfeb10b91af593786ceab871d2e945f
UNRWA
polymarket · 0xb3fefe9667acca5ca31a8e330219dc67a01b374331d9bf4875357655a5508815
Greta Thunberg
polymarket · 0xdd84a0f9830eb540be5cd7a22bcaaa27aedced37c7994c480f95669a341f1c4e
Xi Jinping
polymarket · 0x7f347ed733252dc7afbd91e28104e23651b81ef6d2ef6805c7915c22e89a69b5
Charlie Kirk
polymarket · 0xda9e24f8b6b8f71f02a79fe9d27348f6cbf2ff670cbef4afc58ae52fb4c8b1cb
Ahmed al-Sharaa
polymarket · 0x0d58510591b53c9837c30c1f5a202232da376460634aee9da71a6bfeb15350bb
Mohammed bin Salman
polymarket · 0x8f77f96697dea0909edb2946e0eb866c08e9c2280964e70b1e5f25fcc0a747d0
Pope Leo XIV
polymarket · 0xec2e51ebb99006172b05548fc53d6842d30c9c0cccaf4c34569f0431b94d4bfc
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
polymarket · 0x32146c285b1d126556a309e3eae227f614076c93c0b080bae4ed6aaf6b1e9e5f
Elon Musk
polymarket · 0x97115010af13666600dc8776dce48290f5c4c23d387a86a97f6b4b38561dd5af
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
polymarket · 0x720e7267b2bd49feeaed5cf254b5d5243aa4d5e4f2ac03e4a5cb1bd9eea8a6eb
Vladimir Putin
polymarket · 0x1e7a7b53f33712909925d133f51a3454a97f8d39bb2651761c4ee44d580ae2df
Narendra Modi
polymarket · 0xbe70d1b2d9c50c2d91f5f309417735f4238682239593a6a0bb1340188befb6cd
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
polymarket · 0xe2cd08587e1f67a41341994fc3ea053a8ed92b5258d42acf3d4448c75095eaa5
Julian Assange
polymarket · 0x0cfec4bdb5b2060bba705259a76c489a9b0cc36da5edad65ecd796f461a89af5
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
maker
Score
0.295
Observability
none
Event type
cultural
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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