Will Vance Bostic win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
This contract is priced at 21¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 40¢ ask, 38¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
3
Family volume
$6K
Best sibling
Hakeem Jeffries 94¢
Ticker
0xa3f66430…68af
Market snapshot
Vance Bostic in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Vance Bostic win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?. The displayed quote is 21¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $609. In the NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #2 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Vance Bostic
Family rank
#2 of 3
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
21¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Nov 3, 2026
Reported volume
$609
Family context
3 outcomes · NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Quote range
1¢-94¢
Family leader
Hakeem Jeffries 94¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 8m ago
Venue identifier: 0xa3f664300e2d8db84ab5dffcb4391bdc5cd3828c3900b61aaa7c5aed8b8e68af. Family volume: $6K.
Price history
21¢ current
+17¢Orderbook snapshot
2 / 40¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Identifier
0xa3f66430…68af
Event family
NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$6K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Hakeem Jeffries 94¢
Current share
10%
Vance Bostic
polymarket · 0xa3f664300e2d8db84ab5dffcb4391bdc5cd3828c3900b61aaa7c5aed8b8e68af
Hakeem Jeffries
polymarket · 0x885af440160b32c882027f0ed610b6a9b311262a6a0518fa9529a050f078fad2
Chi Ossé
polymarket · 0x545ce460563d360ed5fd36e87c995682b02d4d882ff590d3a1f72d7ed7792c8b
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Your First Prediction Market Trade: End-to-End CLI Walkthrough
Step-by-step CLI tutorial for your first prediction market trade. Install, scan, create a thesis, find edges, check liquidity, place an order, and monitor — all from the command line.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 21% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.