SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 19, 202640 days left

Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?

This contract is priced at 36¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 10¢ bid, 57¢ ask, 47¢ spread.

Implied probability

36¢
$116 volume
$104 liquidity
4% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$3K

Best sibling

<200k 32¢

Ticker

0xa0de46b2…11d5

Market snapshot

450k+ in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?. The displayed quote is 36¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $116. In the Olivia Rodrigo 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' First Week Album Sales? family, this outcome ranks #2 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC.

Outcome

450k+

Family rank

#2 of 7

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

36¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 19, 2026

Reported volume

$116

Family context

7 outcomes · Olivia Rodrigo 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' First Week Album Sales?

Quote range

8¢-46¢

Family leader

350k-400k 46¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 9m ago

Venue identifier: 0xa0de46b27ad846a9e1085a8d2e81fc71c593187086864b769c0f62d3909511d5. Family volume: $3K.

Price history

36¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 57¢

Polymarket
47¢ spread
BidSize
100¢100
10¢16
9¢100
7¢39
5¢80
4¢84
2¢14
AskSize
57¢15
58¢112
59¢5
66¢20
67¢24
76¢6
77¢35
79¢6

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

Olivia Rodrigo's new album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' is expected to release June 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' has not been released by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 19, 2026

Identifier

0xa0de46b2…11d5

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1830.1%
444.0%
Adj IY
0%
2
RV
2855%
VR
6.15
IAR
5.4/h
Overround
0.9%
LAS
1.15

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