Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027?
This contract is priced at 93¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 91¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 5¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
3
Family volume
$10K
Best sibling
$42 trillion 7¢
Ticker
0x83c94810…05ad
Market snapshot
$40 trillion in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027?. The displayed quote is 93¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $2. In the Peak US National Debt before 2027? family, this outcome ranks #1 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.
Outcome
$40 trillion
Family rank
#1 of 3
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
93¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
24h volume
$2
Family context
3 outcomes · Peak US National Debt before 2027?
Quote range
7¢-93¢
Family leader
$40 trillion 93¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 6m ago
Venue identifier: 0x83c948109c75656cc3a996b589052be0d06f68ebb016a14f82b0ded1faaa05ad. Family volume: $10K.
Price history
93¢ current
−2¢Orderbook snapshot
91 / 96¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x83c94810…05ad
Event family
Peak US National Debt before 2027.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$10K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
$40 trillion 93¢
Current share
52%
$40 trillion
polymarket · 0x83c948109c75656cc3a996b589052be0d06f68ebb016a14f82b0ded1faaa05ad
$42 trillion
polymarket · 0x1f9a27523f446ac64949dbbf8dfb385e9e7cc3516aec0a3c3a7cae9ca4df63b5
$41 trillion
polymarket · 0xc552c2d96a844be039ad665435bef6d2b256e304ebc596a0c2fca40e3340c20b
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.432
Observability
medium
Event type
unknown
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