Will the U.S. national debt hit $41 trillion before 2027?
This contract is priced at 43¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 18¢ bid, 66¢ ask, 48¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
3
Family volume
$10K
Best sibling
$40 trillion 93¢
Ticker
0xc552c2d9…c20b
Market snapshot
$41 trillion in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will the U.S. national debt hit $41 trillion before 2027?. The displayed quote is 43¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $500. In the Peak US National Debt before 2027? family, this outcome ranks #2 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
$41 trillion
Family rank
#2 of 3
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
43¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
Reported volume
$500
Family context
3 outcomes · Peak US National Debt before 2027?
Quote range
8¢-93¢
Family leader
$40 trillion 93¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 12m ago
Venue identifier: 0xc552c2d96a844be039ad665435bef6d2b256e304ebc596a0c2fca40e3340c20b. Family volume: $10K.
Price history
43¢ current
+2¢Orderbook snapshot
18 / 66¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0xc552c2d9…c20b
Event family
Peak US National Debt before 2027.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$10K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
$40 trillion 93¢
Current share
5%
$41 trillion
polymarket · 0xc552c2d96a844be039ad665435bef6d2b256e304ebc596a0c2fca40e3340c20b
$40 trillion
polymarket · 0x83c948109c75656cc3a996b589052be0d06f68ebb016a14f82b0ded1faaa05ad
$42 trillion
polymarket · 0x1f9a27523f446ac64949dbbf8dfb385e9e7cc3516aec0a3c3a7cae9ca4df63b5
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.432
Observability
medium
Event type
unknown
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