Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?
This contract is priced at 69¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 53¢ bid, 84¢ ask, 31¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$5K
Best sibling
—
Ticker
0x6695d427…800a
Price history
69¢ current
+11¢Orderbook snapshot
53 / 84¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pep Guardiola permanently ceases to be the manager of Manchester City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered. An announcement of Pep Guardiola’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Manchester City and/or Pep Guardiola. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
0x6695d427…800a
Event family
This market.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$5K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026 69¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
sports
Odds pages
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