SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 14, 2026219 days left

Will Atlético Grau win Peru Liga 1?

This contract is priced at 47¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 94¢ spread.

Implied probability

47¢
$0 volume
$3 liquidity

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

UTC Cajamarca 47¢

Ticker

0x6c705a58…c74f

Market snapshot

Atlético Grau in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Atlético Grau win Peru Liga 1?. The displayed quote is 47¢ from the latest venue quote. In the Peru Liga 1: Winner family, this outcome ranks #1 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Atlético Grau

Family rank

#1 of 16

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

47¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 14, 2026

Reported volume

Family context

16 outcomes · Peru Liga 1: Winner

Quote range

47¢-47¢

Family leader

Atlético Grau 47¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC · 14m ago

Venue identifier: 0x6c705a5897584b110859f1c3fcb19bcd6b630d98c44d6f57c0ec57eb7d0ec74f. Family volume: .

Price history

47¢ current

1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 26, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 94¢

Polymarket
94¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
94¢12
95¢20
99¢126

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Peru Liga 1. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Peru Liga 1 per the rules of Peru Liga 1 (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Peru Liga 1; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 14, 2026

Identifier

0x6c705a58…c74f

Event family

Peru Liga 1: Winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Atlético Grau 47¢

Current share

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Atlético Grau

polymarket · 0x6c705a5897584b110859f1c3fcb19bcd6b630d98c44d6f57c0ec57eb7d0ec74f

47¢$0$02.0

UTC Cajamarca

polymarket · 0x38cafba5955adf40c297eec860eecf90abc8f61dee97bc4df99722aed8f323c9

47¢$0$02.0

Alianza Lima

polymarket · 0x746113e90cfcf6be7853c09ad00d94cc6e15dba379a7c894924d39311ba9a539

47¢$0$02.0

Deportivo Garcilaso

polymarket · 0x615e32b318b7917f71f23f04c29c43994ad1bb58259c0414d7ee36e092f07025

47¢$0$02.0

Sporting Cristal

polymarket · 0x761e931e6b6358804193a112ceaea19c43400e2e1d319476888a5236151d75ac

47¢$0$02.0

Comerciantes Unidos

polymarket · 0x81c71c363bf17b98b6a3188e0dcd1ea37f1a61923df883cb3ce3c8d37e203737

47¢$0$02.0

Alianza Atlético Sullana

polymarket · 0x0b308d7342f07f93beaa56fbe339d3aab344de8a0e781c5a814068d5adeaa527

47¢$0$02.0

ADT

polymarket · 0x311d5340b781328283f3ae6c916964269476386bc8b34048f96d7b95fcafa6a3

47¢$0$02.0

Deportivo Moquegua

polymarket · 0xd371dc76363ee44a8a2ca9c81db45a082181d7c6d22c0128046db4cdea0f7509

47¢$0$0

Universitario

polymarket · 0xb53a7661f0d4cd6adece61edede623b8d42b92a49d4f938ad16e03e3becfd05b

47¢$0$02.0

FBC Melgar

polymarket · 0x76bf62c730571c17eabe0ef8ebb98d840c55e1e73f0e70e5bd569e799bdf4262

47¢$0$02.0

Los Chankas

polymarket · 0xecddc28a615a13d04f6d04ad975da798b86681016c9abaf9fff79df5fb027504

47¢$0$02.0

Sport Huancayo

polymarket · 0x4d861142ec06d050711db80f2a4745a1cb75e460b643c9be45d15cdb8bb94d94

47¢$0$02.0

Sport Boys

polymarket · 0x20e15cf9e6babb28146dffb6c74bebb5d4304173588190dbb9c51c65440a8f19

47¢$0$02.0

Cienciano

polymarket · 0xdb2318771af66fa8e76839ec4f53cf42949d2cb1e36aff5b068668d2c5f63aee

47¢$0$02.0

Cusco FC

polymarket · 0x5f8237dc8fefc8ae24367682af79ed0e47c077419cef30386765097ec7929a4c

47¢$0$02.0

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

188.3%
148.0%
Adj IY
0%
1
RV
179%
VR
1.32
IAR
0.8/h
Overround
7.4%
LAS
2.00

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Conceptmethodology

Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome

When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Conceptmethodology

Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State

Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.

Conceptmethodology

New Market Price Formation: The First 24 Hours of a Listed Contract

When a binary contract first lists, the price moves through four phases: maker seeding, discovery flow, tentative consensus, stable pricing. Trading rules and the maker opportunity in phases 1 and 2.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index