SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 31, 202617 days left

PGA Championship: Will David Lipsky make the cut?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 13 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 41¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 40¢ bid, 41¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

41¢
$106 volume
$99 liquidity
0% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$83K

Best sibling

Justin Rose 67¢

Ticker

KXPGAMAKECUT-PGC26-DLIP

Market snapshot

David Lipsky in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for PGA Championship: Will David Lipsky make the cut?. The displayed quote is 41¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $58. In the PGA Championship family, this outcome ranks #11 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 13, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC.

Outcome

David Lipsky

Family rank

#11 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

41¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 31, 2026

24h volume

$58

Family context

16 outcomes · PGA Championship

Quote range

5¢-92¢

Family leader

Scottie Scheffler 92¢

Last updated

May 13, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 4m ago

Venue identifier: KXPGAMAKECUT-PGC26-DLIP. Family volume: $83K.

Price history

41¢ current

14¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 11, 2026May 13, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

40 / 41¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
40¢750
39¢358
38¢750
33¢3.7K
29¢1.8K
AskSize
41¢750
42¢3.3K
43¢5.8K
44¢9.7K
45¢7.7K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If David Lipsky has made the cut at the 2026 PGA Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 31, 2026

Identifier

KXPGAMAKECUT-PGC26-DLIP

SF Signal
SF Index
3182.58
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

PGA Championship Cut Made Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGAMAKECUT series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3182.6%

IY (No)

1414.5%

Adj IY

3183%

CRI

2

RV

672%

VR

1.03

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3182.6%
1414.5%
Adj IY
3183%
2
RV
672%
VR
1.03
IAR
2.0/h
Overround
74.2%

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Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.