PGA Championship: Will Gary Woodland finish top 10?

Prediction markets currently give a 10% probability that PGA Championship: Will Gary Woodland finish top 10?. This contract trades at 10¢ on Kalshi, closing June 14, 2026. This market exhibits extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction typical of micro-volume prediction markets, with only $1 in 24-hour volume and $1 open interest supporting a massive 75¢ bid-ask spread.

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10¢
Bid/Ask 9/57¢·Spread 48¢·Vol $0·OI $1·Closes Jun 14, 2026·51d remaining
KXPGATOP10-PGC26-GWOO
7-day price177 snapshots · 3 regime
38¢9¢ current
Apr 199¢Apr 21

Analysis

4d ago

This market exhibits extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction typical of micro-volume prediction markets, with only $1 in 24-hour volume and $1 open interest supporting a massive 75¢ bid-ask spread. The 6684% implied yield on the Yes side is a mathematical artifact of the 10¢ price point rather than a genuine opportunity, as the negligible liquidity makes execution at posted prices virtually impossible. With 55 days to expiry and a neutral regime, this market lacks sufficient depth to provide reliable probability estimates for Woodland's top-10 finish odds.

Resolution rules

If Gary Woodland finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 PGA Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 7277.3%
IY (No) 71.2%
Adj IY 3639%
CRI 10
Overround 2.2%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)7277.3%
IY (No)71.2%
Adj IY3639%
CRI10
Overround2.2%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
48¢
Computed
4/24/2026, 10:57:41 AM
Indicators computed 4/24/2026, 10:53:43 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXPGATOP10-PGC26-GWOO yes 100

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