SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 14, 202633 days left

PGA Championship: Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish top 10?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 30¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 27¢ bid, 30¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

30¢
$1K volume
$1K liquidity
7% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$21K

Best sibling

Bryson DeChambeau 26¢

Ticker

KXPGATOP10-PGC26-MFIT

Market snapshot

Matt Fitzpatrick in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for PGA Championship: Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish top 10?. The displayed quote is 30¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $489. In the PGA Championship family, this outcome ranks #5 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC.

Outcome

Matt Fitzpatrick

Family rank

#5 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

30¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 14, 2026

24h volume

$489

Family context

16 outcomes · PGA Championship

Quote range

6¢-61¢

Family leader

Scottie Scheffler 61¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 2m ago

Venue identifier: KXPGATOP10-PGC26-MFIT. Family volume: $21K.

Price history

30¢ current

+23¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 19, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

27 / 30¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
27¢45
23¢154
22¢10K
20¢2.1K
19¢263
AskSize
30¢12K
31¢20K
32¢121K
33¢2.5K
34¢803

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Matt Fitzpatrick finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 PGA Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Identifier

KXPGATOP10-PGC26-MFIT

SF Signal
SF Index
1484.26
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

PGA Championship Top-N Finish Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGATOP series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2968.5%

IY (No)

406.1%

Adj IY

1484%

CRI

3

Overround

9.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2968.5%
406.1%
Adj IY
1484%
3
Overround
9.4%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.