SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 14, 202631 days left

PGA Championship: Will Tyrrell Hatton make the cut?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 13 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 70¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 69¢ bid, 71¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

70¢
$0 volume
1.8 LAS liquidity
0% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$85K

Best sibling

Justin Rose 68¢

Ticker

KXPGAMAKECUT-PGC26-THAT

Market snapshot

Tyrrell Hatton in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for PGA Championship: Will Tyrrell Hatton make the cut?. The displayed quote is 70¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. In the PGA Championship family, this outcome ranks #7 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 13, 2026, 11:53 PM UTC.

Outcome

Tyrrell Hatton

Family rank

#7 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

70¢

Quote source

Bid/ask midpoint

Timing

Listed until Jun 14, 2026

Reported volume

Family context

16 outcomes · PGA Championship

Quote range

2¢-92¢

Family leader

Scottie Scheffler 92¢

Last updated

May 13, 2026, 11:53 PM UTC · 13m ago

Venue identifier: KXPGAMAKECUT-PGC26-THAT. Family volume: $85K.

Price history

70¢ current

+27¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 11, 2026May 13, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

69 / 71¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
69¢750
68¢437
67¢750
64¢51
63¢6.8K
AskSize
71¢750
72¢13K
73¢10K
74¢10K
75¢11K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Tyrrell Hatton has made the cut at the 2026 PGA Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Identifier

KXPGAMAKECUT-PGC26-THAT

SF Signal
SF Index
2606.33
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

PGA Championship Cut Made Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGAMAKECUT series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

526.1%

IY (No)

2606.3%

Adj IY

2606%

CRI

2

RV

288%

VR

1.16

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

526.1%
2606.3%
Adj IY
2606%
2
RV
288%
VR
1.16
IAR
2.0/h
Overround
74.3%

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Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.