SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJan 1, 2028602 days left

Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?

This contract is priced at 91¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 90¢ bid, 91¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

91¢
$403K volume
$36K liquidity
8% of event volume

Event outcomes

11

Family volume

$4.9M

Best sibling

$200M 77¢

Ticker

0x9bdb3d58…1ee4

Market snapshot

$100M in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?. The displayed quote is 91¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $579. In the Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? family, this outcome ranks #2 of 11 by current quote across 11 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 3:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

$100M

Family rank

#2 of 11

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

91¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2028

24h volume

$579

Family context

11 outcomes · Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Quote range

5¢-93¢

Family leader

$50M 93¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 3:23 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: 0x9bdb3d58c76c0f3c1ef757407fac0ee75110d08958cce0c2c73e3d657e5b1ee4. Family volume: $4.9M.

Price history

91¢ current

+5¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

90 / 91¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
90¢10K
89¢1.8K
88¢6.7K
87¢200
86¢400
85¢413
84¢200
83¢361
AskSize
91¢1.9K
92¢6.6K
93¢401
94¢270
95¢16
96¢14
97¢783
98¢108

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 1, 2028

Identifier

0x9bdb3d58…1ee4

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

6.0%

IY (No)

613.2%

Adj IY

303%

CRI

10

Overround

4.0%

LAS

0.01

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

medium

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

6.0%
613.2%
Adj IY
303%
10
Overround
4.0%
LAS
0.01

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